A few years back when my QB frustration hit an all time high, I decided I was sick of not being able to tell how/why the Browns kept making massive mistakes when drafting QB’s. There was no way we were ever going to turn this fucking boat around without a Franchise QB so I set out to try and educate myself on the finer points of QB evaluation.
Well that about broke my brain. There is so much that goes into the position and skill sets and personality and holy shit just shoot me… So I took a step back and said what are the basics? What simple quantitative metrics can I gather to see how it correlates to NFL success at the position?
That lead me to my first iteration of the FQRS System. I simply reviewed each player on their basic College stats. Readily available and easy to get for all past players from the modern era. I went about reviewing these stats for all the recent/current greats and their Draft class cohorts. I created a simple grading system using the actual historical average stats for the NFL players who have had the most success.
In the documents below you can read all the details of how and who. But I look at Games Played, Completion %, Yards Per Game, TD Totals, Interceptions vs TD’s, Yards Between Interceptions and Yards Between Touchdowns. In the later iterations you find below I started making adjustments for Stupidity, Dedication, Issues with the Law, Film Study Habits, etc. These penalized the assholes and raised the grades for the ones who were truly dedicated to their craft.
Let me tell you…this system produced uncanny correlation to NFL success and so it became a predictive tool for me just in time to measure the Baker6 Draft. You might find this numbers nonsense pretty fun. Look up all your favorite QBs from the past…find the ones who busted or succeeded and check out the scores. Burn some brain cells on this stuff!!! Enjoy.
2016-NFL-Draft_FQRS-Supplement-12017-NFL-Draft_FQRS-Supplement-1
2018-NFL-Draft_FQRS-Supplement-1
